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Newspaper Column

Balancing Recovery and Price Stability

Dawn  ·  2025

Type

Newspaper Column

Venue

Dawn

Year

2025

Date

21 July 2025

Source

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In Brief

Pakistan's economy is at a critical crossroads between growth revival and resurgent inflation. The SBP's aggressive monetary easing helped revive credit and investment, but rising fuel prices and a weakening rupee now threaten to undo those gains. Monetary easing and liquidity expansion have likely supported growth indicators, but they may create a risk of renewed inflation if not reined in.

Pakistan’s economy is at a critical crossroads between growth revival and resurgent inflation. The State Bank of Pakistan’s aggressive monetary easing — slashing the policy rate from 22% to 11% since mid-2024 — helped revive credit and investment, but rising fuel prices and a weakening rupee now threaten to undo those gains. Record remittances of $38.3 billion in FY25 provided a cushion, yet the SBP faces a narrowing window before IMF conditionalities and cost-push inflation forces a reversal of its accommodative stance. Monetary easing and liquidity expansion have likely supported growth indicators, but they may create a risk of renewed inflation if not reined in.

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Keywords & Themes

Pakistan Monetary Policy Inflation State Bank of Pakistan IMF Macroeconomics

Original Source

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About the Author

Dr. Ghulam Mohey-ud-din

Senior Economic Planner, Parsons Corporation · RCJY, Saudi Arabia
PhD Economics · 18+ years · 20+ peer-reviewed publications · $60M+ programmes advised

Full Biography Google Scholar ORCID LinkedIn

Piece Details

Type

Newspaper Column

Venue

Dawn

Year

2025

Date

21 July 2025

Keywords

Pakistan Monetary Policy Inflation State Bank of Pakistan IMF Macroeconomics

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