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Newspaper Column

Crowding out development for debt: Pakistan’s fiscal dilemma

Business Recorder  ·  2025

Type

Newspaper Column

Venue

Business Recorder

Year

2025

Date

2 July 2025

Source

View Original ↗

In Brief

Pakistan's federal budget has grown sevenfold since 2009–10, yet 46.7% will go toward debt servicing in 2025–26 (PKR 8.21 trillion), leaving development spending (PSDP) at just PKR 1 trillion. The debt spiral is crowding out public investment in infrastructure, education, and health—threatening long-term economic resilience.

Over the past fifteen years, Pakistan’s federal budget has ballooned in size, but not necessarily in wisdom. From 2009–10 to 2025–26, the national budget has grown nearly sevenfold in nominal terms. But a troubling story unfolds under the surface—the lion’s share of that growth is being swallowed by interest payments on debt, leaving little room for investments that actually move the needle on development.

Debt servicing is projected to consume 46.7% of the federal budget in 2025–26, with PKR 8.21 trillion earmarked for interest payments—while development spending (PSDP) stands at just PKR 1 trillion. The government is caught in a debt spiral where borrowing begets more borrowing, and interest costs cannibalize public finances. The effects are visible in potholes that don’t get fixed, schools that don’t get built, and hospitals that remain understaffed.

Read the full article on Business Recorder (Published 2 July 2025).

Keywords & Themes

fiscal policy debt servicing PSDP federal budget development spending debt spiral

Original Source

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About the Author

Dr. Ghulam Mohey-ud-din

Senior Economic Planner, Parsons Corporation · RCJY, Saudi Arabia
PhD Economics · 18+ years · 20+ peer-reviewed publications · $60M+ programmes advised

Full Biography Google Scholar ORCID LinkedIn

Piece Details

Type

Newspaper Column

Venue

Business Recorder

Year

2025

Date

2 July 2025

Keywords

fiscal policy debt servicing PSDP federal budget development spending debt spiral

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