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Newspaper Column

Stability or survival? The truth behind economic optimism

Business Recorder  ·  2025

Type

Newspaper Column

Venue

Business Recorder

Year

2025

Date

19 June 2025

Source

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In Brief

Pakistan's Prime Minister frames IMF engagement as economic success, but the $1 billion EFF disbursement and $1.4 billion RSF approval come with eleven new conditions. With GDP growth at 2.7%, inflation at near-zero, and reserves recovering but fragile, stabilization is real but far from structural transformation.

Celebrating the “success” of IMF discussions, Pakistan’s Prime Minister has tried to paint an optimistic picture of the economy—claiming a return to stability and promising a shift from austerity to growth. But these assertions appear to ignore a complex reality.

In May 2025, the IMF completed the first review of Pakistan’s Extended Fund Facility (EFF), allowing disbursement of roughly $1 billion, and simultaneously approved a new $1.4 billion under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF). These approvals came with stringent conditions—eleven new conditions reportedly added before the next tranche, including agricultural income tax legislation and a published governance action plan. Headline inflation hit a historic low of 0.3% in April 2025, and forex reserves have recovered to $10.3 billion, but GDP growth of 2.7% is still far below what is needed to absorb the economy’s structural pressures.

Read the full article on Business Recorder (Published 19 June 2025).

Keywords & Themes

IMF EFF economic stabilization GDP growth fiscal policy Resilience and Sustainability Facility

Original Source

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About the Author

Dr. Ghulam Mohey-ud-din

Senior Economic Planner, Parsons Corporation · RCJY, Saudi Arabia
PhD Economics · 18+ years · 20+ peer-reviewed publications · $60M+ programmes advised

Full Biography Google Scholar ORCID LinkedIn

Piece Details

Type

Newspaper Column

Venue

Business Recorder

Year

2025

Date

19 June 2025

Keywords

IMF EFF economic stabilization GDP growth fiscal policy Resilience and Sustainability Facility

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